On March 23, 2020, the S&P 500 Index closed down 2.9% for the day, bringing its total loss from its all-time high to 33.9%. The index was in the midst of its fastest bear market ever. A day earlier, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo had ordered the statewide closure of all non-essential businesses in an effort to slow the spread of the COVID-19 virus, following California’s example and kickstarting a wave of similar lockdowns across states that would ultimately bring the unemployment rate to more than 14%. Although nobody knew it at the time, that day marked the low for the closely watched stock market barometer, and it began a V-shaped recovery. The S&P 500 eclipsed its previous high by mid-August and rose 60% from the March 23 bottom through its most recent high point on September 2.
Having a large allocation to technology and growth companies whose businesses have been more insulated from the negative impacts of the virus certainly has helped the S&P 500, however, all 11 sectors have gained at least 30% from the low. In addition, the Russell 2000 Index, which measures the performance of small-cap companies in the United States, was among the worst-hit during the February-March bear market, but it has actually outperformed the S&P 500 since the market bottom.
History tells us that the gains may not necessarily be over either. While the S&P 500 has already made new all-time highs this month, other key indexes remain well below all-time highs, potentially leaving plenty of room for upside if the economy continues to recover.
Perhaps most importantly, I do not view the recent pullback in stock prices as investors reassessing the durability of the recovery. Since September 2, credit spreads have remained contained, Treasury yields have held steady, and more economically sensitive areas of the market such as industrials, financials, and even real estate have outperformed large-cap growth and the information technology sector. This is the exact opposite of what we saw in February and March. Back in early April when we were just starting to rebound, I told you that based on some reasonable assumptions that I could see the market rebounding to around 3150. While we have seen a significant market decline in September, I am raising my year-end fair value target for the S&P 500 to 3,350-3,400, implying a little upside still to come through the remainder of 2020.
Integrated Financial Group
My firm specializes in working with people that experience what we call “Sudden Income.” Typically the income came from one of these events:
1) Accessing and Managing Retirement Assets
2) A Performance Contract (Typically a Sports or Entertainment Contract)
3) Divorce Settlement
4) Inheritance or Insurance Payout
5) Sale of a Business or Stock Options
6) A Personal Injury Settlement
I believe the unique nature of these events requires specialized professional experience, empathy, and communication to deal with both the financial changes and the life changes that inevitably come with them.
My clients value my ability to simplify complex strategies into an actionable plan. They also appreciate that I am open, non-judging, and easy to talk to about their dreams and fears. Each client defines financial success differently and my goal is to guide them from where they are now to where they want to be. As my client’s advisor, my goal is to provide them with a lifetime income stream, improving returns, protecting their funds, and managing taxes.
Firm Specialties:
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- Retirement Planning For Business Owners & Executives
- Woman’s Unique Financial Planning Needs
- Professional Athletes
- Investment/Asset Allocation Advice
- Estate Planning
- Risk Management
- Strategic Planning
Kevin was listed in The Wall Street Journal as “One of the Financial Advisors In The Southeast That You Need To Know”
Kevin was listed in Forbes Magazine’s Annual Financial Edition as a Five Star Financial Advisor
Kevin has been awarded the Five Star Professional Wealth Manager in Atlanta Magazine in 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017,2018, and 2019.
Award based on 10 objective criteria associated with providing quality services to clients such as credentials, experience, and assets under management among other factors. Wealth managers do not pay a fee to be considered or placed on the final list of Five Star Wealth Managers.
KEVIN GARRETT, AWMA, CFS
Integrated Financial Group
200 Ashford Center North, Ste. 400 | Atlanta, GA 30338
Phone | 770.353.6311
Email | kgarrett@intfingroup.com
Website | kevingarrettifg.com